USD 34.7 billion
Automotive Thermal Systems Market Size, Share, and Growth Analysis
Automotive Thermal Systems Market By Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars, Light Commercial Vehicles), By Propulsion (ICE Vehicles, Electric and Hybrid Vehicles), By Application (HVAC, Powertrain Cooling), By Region - Industry Forecast 2025-2032
Report ID:
SQMIG25A2136 |
Region:
Global |
Published Date: December, 2024
Pages:
165
|Tables:
122
|Figures:
77
Format -
Automotive Thermal Systems Market Insights
Global Automotive Thermal Systems Market size was valued at USD 34.7 billion in 2023 and is poised to grow from USD 36.16 billion in 2024 to USD 50.25 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.2% during the forecast period (2025-2032).
The introduction of turbochargers in commercial vehicles, rising demand for front and rear A/C, heated steering, and strict emission regulations are expected to propel market expansion. The global automotive thermal systems market growth is to be driven by the rising demand for smart thermal management in automobiles and the integration of thermal sensors in passenger vehicles. Manufacturers of heavy vehicles or those used in the shipping, construction, and transportation sectors are among the major buyers in the automotive thermal systems market. However, the lack of standardization due to the high cost of thermal system technology and variations in emissions in various nations is projected to impede market expansion.
It is estimated that factors such as the rise in demand for electric vehicles, the development of lightweight HVAC systems and eco-friendly refrigerants, and technical improvements will create growth possibilities throughout the forecast period. Companies in the automotive thermal systems market are concentrating on the development of parts such as compressors, HVAC systems, cooling systems for powertrains, and fluid transport. The carbon dioxide emissions from automobiles are reduced by these systems that recycle waste heat.
Market snapshot - 2025-2032
Global Market Size
Largest Segment
Compressor
Fastest Growth
Compressor
Growth Rate
4.2% CAGR
Global Automotive Thermal Systems Market, 2021-2028 ($ Bn)
Country Share for North America Region- 2021 (%)
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Automotive Thermal Systems Market Segments Analysis
Global Automotive Thermal Systems Market is segmented by vehicle type, propulsion, application and region. Based on vehicle type, the market is segmented into passenger cars, light commercial vehicles and heavy commercial vehicles. Based on propulsion, the market is segmented into ICE vehicles and electric and hybrid vehicles. Based on application, the market is segmented into HVAC, powertrain cooling, fluid transport and others. Based on region, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa.
The compressor segment is expected to dominate the Automotive Thermal Systems Market
The compressor segment accounted for the largest market share in the year 2020, and it is expected to continue its dominance over the forecast period. One of the key drivers fuelling the market's expansion is the rising use of compressors in the A/C systems to remove the warm air from the car's interior.
In 2021, the HVAC industry had a 45% market share. The market segment is projected to hold its position and expand at a CAGR of more than 2.82% throughout the course of the forecast period. In a car, the HVAC system controls the temperature, ventilation, and air conditioning. The market for automotive thermal systems is projected to be driven by rising demand for cutting-edge HVACs that are lightweight and environmentally friendly. Furthermore, HVAC equipment is economical and can increase productivity, which is projected to give the market another boost in the near future. During the forecast period, all of these factors are likely to drive the automotive thermal systems market.
The passenger car segment is projected to lead the automotive thermal systems market
The greatest market for automotive thermal systems is the passenger car sector. The top 6 nations producing the most passenger cars are the US, China, Japan, Germany, India, and South Korea. In many nations, rising per capita income and rising standards of life are the primary drivers of passenger car sales. Additionally, the market is projected to be driven by consumers' increased preference for comfort and luxury as well as their need for cutting-edge features like heated and ventilated seats, heated steering, and rear air conditioning.
On the other hand, it is projected that during the projected period, the commercial vehicle segment would be the most opportune. Two important factors boosting the sales of commercial vehicles in many nations are a rise in per capita income and an improvement in living standards.
Vehicles with IC engines will be in high demand in the global automotive thermal systems market
In 2021, the IC engine cars segment had a sizable share of 56%. The market segment is projected to hold its position and expand at a CAGR of more than 2.76% over the course of the projected period. Along with renewable or alternative fuels, gasoline or diesel are the most common fuels used by IC engine vehicles. In automobiles with internal combustion engines, the fuel is ignited and burned inside the engine. As a result, the engine partially transforms the energy from combustion into mechanical effort by pushing the piston with the help of expanding combustion gases, which turns the crankshaft. The worldwide automotive thermal systems market is projected to grow as a result throughout the forecast period.
The waste heat recovery segment is estimated to be the fastest-growing segment during the forecasted period
The thermal system market for waste heat recovery is projected to experience the highest CAGR of 10.2% during the forecast period. The rise in commercial vehicle manufacturing that comes equipped with turbochargers and EGR is responsible for the market expansion for waste heat recovery systems. As a result of strict pollution standards, waste heat recovery systems have been employed in gasoline vehicles.
Additionally, it is predicted that the seat sector will be the most profitable segment during the projected period. The expansion of the seat category is being driven by the rising use of passenger vehicles in developing and emerging nations during the course of the projection period.
Global Automotive Thermal Systems Market By Components, 2021 (%)
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Automotive Thermal Systems Market Regional Insights
APAC accounted for a significant portion of the global automotive thermal systems market in 2021 in terms of revenue share. Due to a constant rise in demand for passenger automobiles brought on by the region's growing population, growing urbanisation, stable economic conditions, and low interest rates, the trend is projected to continue during the projected period.
Over the past few years, APAC has been a centre for the manufacture of automobiles. OEMs have increased vehicle production in the area as a result of shifting consumer tastes, rising middle-class per capita income, and cost benefits. As a result, the manufacture of vehicles has significantly increased in China, India, and Japan. The region's notably high vehicle manufacturing presents the automotive thermal systems market with a sizable opportunity. Due to favourable investment regulations and the availability of inexpensive labour, Asia-Pacific has become a prime market for car OEMs. The region's demand for automotive thermal systems has been driven up by rising demand for luxury vehicles with greater interior comfort.
In terms of market volume and value share, this region was followed by North America and Europe. The automobile thermal system market was dominated by North America and Europe in 2021. In these regions, there is a trend toward auto customisation, which significantly impacts the market.
The South American market will grow slowly over the next five years due to stagnancy in automobile sales in the region as a whole, particularly in Brazil.
Global Automotive Thermal Systems Market By Geography, 2021-2028
- Largest
- Fastest
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Automotive Thermal Systems Market Dynamics
Automotive Thermal Systems Market Driver
Surge in demand for electric vehicles
- Leading market participants are now required to offer electric vehicles all over the world due to increasing demand for low-emission transportation and governments’ encouraging long-range, zero-emission vehicles through subsidies and tax breaks. The market is seeing an increase in demand for electric vehicles as a result. It was projected that with an increase in demand for electric vehicles, battery prices would decline. Battery electric vehicle sales are increasing as a result of this. An electric motor, a battery, and power electronics cooling are needed for battery electric cars. Automotive thermal management systems are in increasingly high demand as the number of electric and hybrid vehicles on the road rises. Such automotive thermal management systems address the challenges that the automotive industry faces. They help to lower the amount of pollution that cars with internal combustion engines emit. Additionally, in hybrid and electric vehicles, automotive temperature management systems maximise battery range and durability. They also safeguard the passengers' health and safety. Therefore, the increased demand for electric vehicles is fuelling the growth of the global automotive thermal systems market.
Demand for CO2 reduction and fuel-efficient thermal systems will increase as emission laws become more strict.
- Controlling GHG emissions from vehicles has become a significant concern as the number of vehicles on the road worldwide has increased. Regulatory organisations like the European Commission (EC) and the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) have imposed fuel economy standards and controlled fuel sulphur content limits to combat the exponential effect of emissions. By recycling waste heat and carefully controlling the vehicle's heating and cooling systems, advancements in thermal system technology can maximise CO2 reduction and boost vehicle efficiency. Engine thermal mass reduction, predictive powertrain control, integrated liquid-cooled exhaust/EGR, transmission rapid warm-up, dynamic engine thermal control, and thermoelectric capture and generation are some of the thermal system technologies that are currently used in luxury vehicles to meet the reduced CO2 emission targets (TEG). Furthermore, Rankine cycle and thermal electric exhaust heat recovery systems are emerging thermal system technologies.
Thermal technologies improve the efficiency of the engine, transmission, and HVAC systems in conventional automobiles. These technologies allow for a reduction in the size, mass, and price of the powertrain subsystem in electric vehicles, as well as an increase in the electric powertrain's range (e.g., motor, power electronics, or battery).
Automotive Thermal Systems Market Challenges
The high cost of thermal system technology
- OEMs have used innovative technology to accomplish desired outcomes in response to the imposition of strict pollution and fuel economy requirements. Rising demand for in-vehicle comfort amenities has forced manufacturers to concentrate on thermal systems for the powertrain, drivetrain, and in-cabin comfort. The performance of a thermal system can be measured by comparing the cost incurred to the overall CO2 reduction achieved with these methods. OEMs have previously embraced and incorporated technologies with substantial ROI and CO2 reductions into their premium models. Despite the fact that there are more than 60 thermal system technologies, only a few of them are now in use because of their cost-benefit ratio. Utilizing expensive technologies raises the system's cost, which raises the overall cost of the vehicle and negatively impacts market demand, especially in emerging economies where customers are typically price-sensitive.
Lack of standardization
- Local or regional manufacturers are required to abide by the regulations set forth by the regulating body regarding emission requirements. The export of thermal systems, however, may be hampered by a lack of standardisation due to regional variations in emission restrictions. For instance, in Europe, it is required that the emissions should be reduced. However, poorer nations like South Africa do not have such regulations. As a result, the absence of uniformity makes it difficult for producers to find raw materials or inventory, which negatively impacts the export industry. Low-volume manufacturing is used by producers, which raises production costs. According to the European Commission and US EPA, engine technology must be upgraded to Euro III/IV/V and Tier 3/4 standards. Therefore, the demand for after-treatment devices and enhanced thermal technologies that adhere to the upgraded technology has increased. Thus, the absence of uniform technical standards and high manufacturing costs may limit the market's expansion.
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Automotive Thermal Systems Market Competitive Landscape
The global automotive thermal systems market is fragmented, with a growing number of manufacturers dominating the market share. Companies see an opportunity to accelerate expansion through the introduction of new products and sales through unconventional channels. Key players frequently use mergers and acquisitions and product portfolio expansion as important tactics. Leading automakers including BMW, Fiat Chrysler, Ford, GM, Honda, Hyundai, JLR, Kia, Mercedes, and Nissan have used technologies like active heat transfer, integrated liquid-cooled exhaust/EGR, variable engine oil pump, and engine thermal mass reduction.
Top Players in Automotive Thermal Systems Market
- Denso Corporation
- Valeo SA
- Mahle GmbH
- BorgWarner Inc.
- Hanon Systems
- Eberspaecher Holding GmbH & Co. KG
- Visteon Corporation
- Marelli Holdings Co., Ltd.
- Sanden Holdings Corporation
- Calsonic Kansei Corporation
- Keihin Corporation
- Sensata Technologies, Inc.
- Subros Limited
- Schaeffler AG
- ZF Friedrichshafen AG
- Dana Incorporated
- Robert Bosch GmbH
- Johnson Electric Holdings Limited
- Behr-Hella Thermocontrol GmbH
- Valeo Siemens eAutomotive
Automotive Thermal Systems Market Recent Development
- In February 2022, Toyota developed a manual transmission for electric vehicles, for which the company also filed a patent. The company has successfully integrated an H-pattern manual transmission with a three-pedal layout and a battery electric motor.
- In January 2022, Visteon introduced the new industry-first smart wireless battery management system with additional benefits of thermal management and electrification technology, catering to the battery heat management needs in electric vehicles.
- In May 2021, Hanon Systems completed the acquisition of the condenser business from Keihin Corporation for certain operations in Europe and North America.
- In March 2021, Hanon Systems began construction on its fifth plant in Korea. The facility will manufacture a variety of solutions, such as heat pump modules and coolant valve assemblies, to support electric vehicles for the Genesis brand and Hyundai's Ioniq 5 model.
- In February 2021, MAHLE GmbH reached an agreement with Keihin Corporation (now known as Hitachi Astemo, Ltd.) to acquire its thermal management business activities in Japan, Thailand, and the U.S.
Automotive Thermal Systems Key Market Trends
- A battery temperature management system is necessary for vehicles with hybrid or all-electric propulsion systems. For best charge storage and usage efficiency, the battery is operated at a specified temperature. As a result, the market for automotive thermal management will be driven by the rise in battery-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles over the study period. For example, EV sales in several European countries increased by double digits in 2020, and the European region accounted for more than 43% of global EV sales in 2020, up from 26% in 2019. Approximately 3.24 million plug-in vehicles were sold globally in 2020, up from 2.26 million in 2019. Increased regulatory standards by various organisations and countries to restrict pollution levels and promote zero-emissions vehicles have contributed to this growth in sales. Businesses are investing funds to develop more effective battery solutions for their impending battery-powered cars. For the new MIA 2.0 electric car, for instance, Fox e-mobility AG announced in June 2021 that it had teamed with InoBat Auto j.s.a., Bratislava. A letter of intent was signed by Fox e-mobility AG and InoBat to work together on research, development, and battery design. Additionally, as part of the collaboration, an integrated battery solution that includes cells, modules, and full battery sets will be delivered. The two businesses also want to collaborate in the fields of research, development, and heat management using the most recent lithium-ion technology cells while taking into account international rules and standards.
Automotive Thermal Systems Market SkyQuest Analysis
SkyQuest's ABIRAW (Advanced Business Intelligence, Research & Analysis Wing) is our business information services team that collects, collates, co-relates, and analyses the data collected by means of primary exploratory research backed by the robust secondary desk research.
According to our analysis, the automotive thermal systems are being used more frequently as a result of the growing need for vehicle electrification in order to improve user comfort without reducing vehicle range and maintain appropriate battery temperature. The main driving forces behind the market expansion are the growing demand to reduce carbon emissions produced by internal combustion engines (ICEs) in cars, and the strict emission laws enforced by governing bodies of numerous nations. In addition, the market is growing as a result of the increased use of cutting-edge HVAC systems that are lightweight and environmentally friendly.
| Report Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| Market size value in 2023 | USD 34.7 billion |
| Market size value in 2032 | USD 50.25 billion |
| Growth Rate | 4.2% |
| Base year | 2024 |
| Forecast period | 2025-2032 |
| Forecast Unit (Value) | USD Billion |
| Segments covered |
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| Regions covered | North America (US, Canada), Europe (Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe), Asia Pacific (China, India, Japan, Rest of Asia-Pacific), Latin America (Brazil, Rest of Latin America), Middle East & Africa (South Africa, GCC Countries, Rest of MEA) |
| Companies covered |
|
| Customization scope | Free report customization with purchase. Customization includes:-
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Table Of Content
Executive Summary
Market overview
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Overview
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Data Table on Market Overview
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Automotive Thermal Systems Market Characteristics
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Market by Geography
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Incremental Growth
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Data Table on Incremental Growth
- Exhibit: Executive Summary – Chart on Vendor Market Positioning
Parent Market Analysis
Market overview
Market size
- Market Dynamics
- Exhibit: Impact analysis of DROC, 2021
- Drivers
- Opportunities
- Restraints
- Challenges
- Exhibit: Impact analysis of DROC, 2021
- SWOT Analysis
KEY MARKET INSIGHTS
- Technology Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Name of technology and details)
- Pricing Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Name of technology and pricing details)
- Supply Chain Analysis
- (Exhibit: Detailed Supply Chain Presentation)
- Value Chain Analysis
- (Exhibit: Detailed Value Chain Presentation)
- Ecosystem Of the Market
- Exhibit: Parent Market Ecosystem Market Analysis
- Exhibit: Market Characteristics of Parent Market
- IP Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Name of product/technology, patents filed, inventor/company name, acquiring firm)
- Trade Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Import and Export data details)
- Startup Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Emerging startups details)
- Raw Material Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Mapping of key raw materials)
- Innovation Matrix
- (Exhibit: Positioning Matrix: Mapping of new and existing technologies)
- Pipeline product Analysis
- (Exhibit: Data Table: Name of companies and pipeline products, regional mapping)
- Macroeconomic Indicators
COVID IMPACT
- Introduction
- Impact On Economy—scenario Assessment
- Exhibit: Data on GDP - Year-over-year growth 2016-2022 (%)
- Revised Market Size
- Exhibit: Data Table on Automotive Thermal Systems Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Impact Of COVID On Key Segments
- Exhibit: Data Table on Segment Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- COVID Strategies By Company
- Exhibit: Analysis on key strategies adopted by companies
MARKET DYNAMICS & OUTLOOK
- Market Dynamics
- Exhibit: Impact analysis of DROC, 2021
- Drivers
- Opportunities
- Restraints
- Challenges
- Exhibit: Impact analysis of DROC, 2021
- Regulatory Landscape
- Exhibit: Data Table on regulation from different region
- SWOT Analysis
- Porters Analysis
- Competitive rivalry
- Exhibit: Competitive rivalry Impact of key factors, 2021
- Threat of substitute products
- Exhibit: Threat of Substitute Products Impact of key factors, 2021
- Bargaining power of buyers
- Exhibit: buyers bargaining power Impact of key factors, 2021
- Threat of new entrants
- Exhibit: Threat of new entrants Impact of key factors, 2021
- Bargaining power of suppliers
- Exhibit: Threat of suppliers bargaining power Impact of key factors, 2021
- Competitive rivalry
- Skyquest special insights on future disruptions
- Political Impact
- Economic impact
- Social Impact
- Technical Impact
- Environmental Impact
- Legal Impact
Market Size by Region
- Chart on Market share by geography 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by geography 2021-2027(%)
- North America
- Chart on Market share by country 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by country 2021-2027(%)
- USA
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Canada
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Europe
- Chart on Market share by country 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by country 2021-2027(%)
- Germany
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Spain
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- France
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- UK
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Rest of Europe
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Asia Pacific
- Chart on Market share by country 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by country 2021-2027(%)
- China
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- India
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Japan
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- South Korea
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Rest of Asia Pacific
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Latin America
- Chart on Market share by country 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by country 2021-2027(%)
- Brazil
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Rest of South America
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Middle East & Africa (MEA)
- Chart on Market share by country 2021-2027 (%)
- Data Table on Market share by country 2021-2027(%)
- GCC Countries
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- South Africa
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
- Rest of MEA
- Exhibit: Chart on Market share 2021-2027 (%)
- Exhibit: Market size and forecast 2021-2027 ($ million)
KEY COMPANY PROFILES
- Competitive Landscape
- Total number of companies covered
- Exhibit: companies covered in the report, 2021
- Top companies market positioning
- Exhibit: company positioning matrix, 2021
- Top companies market Share
- Exhibit: Pie chart analysis on company market share, 2021(%)
- Total number of companies covered
Methodology
For the Automotive Thermal Systems Market, our research methodology involved a mixture of primary and secondary data sources. Key steps involved in the research process are listed below:
1. Information Procurement: This stage involved the procurement of Market data or related information via primary and secondary sources. The various secondary sources used included various company websites, annual reports, trade databases, and paid databases such as Hoover's, Bloomberg Business, Factiva, and Avention. Our team did 45 primary interactions Globally which included several stakeholders such as manufacturers, customers, key opinion leaders, etc. Overall, information procurement was one of the most extensive stages in our research process.
2. Information Analysis: This step involved triangulation of data through bottom-up and top-down approaches to estimate and validate the total size and future estimate of the Automotive Thermal Systems Market.
3. Report Formulation: The final step entailed the placement of data points in appropriate Market spaces in an attempt to deduce viable conclusions.
4. Validation & Publishing: Validation is the most important step in the process. Validation & re-validation via an intricately designed process helped us finalize data points to be used for final calculations. The final Market estimates and forecasts were then aligned and sent to our panel of industry experts for validation of data. Once the validation was done the report was sent to our Quality Assurance team to ensure adherence to style guides, consistency & design.
Analyst Support
Customization Options
With the given market data, our dedicated team of analysts can offer you the following customization options are available for the Automotive Thermal Systems Market:
Product Analysis: Product matrix, which offers a detailed comparison of the product portfolio of companies.
Regional Analysis: Further analysis of the Automotive Thermal Systems Market for additional countries.
Competitive Analysis: Detailed analysis and profiling of additional Market players & comparative analysis of competitive products.
Go to Market Strategy: Find the high-growth channels to invest your marketing efforts and increase your customer base.
Innovation Mapping: Identify racial solutions and innovation, connected to deep ecosystems of innovators, start-ups, academics, and strategic partners.
Category Intelligence: Customized intelligence that is relevant to their supply Markets will enable them to make smarter sourcing decisions and improve their category management.
Public Company Transcript Analysis: To improve the investment performance by generating new alpha and making better-informed decisions.
Social Media Listening: To analyze the conversations and trends happening not just around your brand, but around your industry as a whole, and use those insights to make better Marketing decisions.
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